I read a fascinating journal article by criminologist Greg Newbold who critiqued NZ gun law changes since aramoana and he concluded that pretty much all of them have little or no impact on the availability or use of firearms by criminals.
Another fun thing is that of all the NZ mass killings, as far as I can tell, only Aramoana involved an mssa/evil black gun. The others all involve sporting firearms. Makes cracking down on cosmetics seem a bit daft.
Newbolds' research also suggests that cracking down on sporting arms won't do much good either, as so many are already in circulation (same as for mssas due to previous non-compliance with the advent of ecats, only around 7k of the est 15k mssa's were ever registered) and our huge and largely unpatrolled borders meaning that criminals already have a ton of restricted weapons and access to more of them if they really, really want them.
The advent of internet plans and computerised CAD mills (and in future 3d printing) is only going to make it easier for those who shouldn't to get their hands on guns. Only the law abiding obey the law and picking on those who obey the law won't make much odds in the long run.
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